The federal government is considering another “stimulus” plan, by which they mean that they will try to get the economy moving through more government spending. I want to ask a good faith question. What would have to happen for the advocates of such a policy to conclude that it doesn’t work?
The government has passed two stimulus plans already. Yet the recession lasted twice as long as the average postwar recession, and – what is worse – the recovery looks and feels an awful lot like the recession. (If this is what prosperity is like, what will the unemployment rate be if we have another downturn?). Let’s suppose that they pass more government spending, and unemployment stays the same. Will they then concede that government spending doesn’t generate economic growth? What if unemployment actually goes up?
One other point. Will this new “stimulus” plan have any money for defense modernization? The last one didn’t. Consider this. If there is an historical example of government spending stimulating the economy, it’s when the government, after TEN YEARS of the Depression, geared up for World War II beginning in 1940. Yet the last “stimulus” package of $800 billion didn’t spend a dime on defense modernization or the defense industrial base.
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